Delhi Election Exit Poll 2025: AAP’s Chances of Winning Again; Past Poll Accuracy

As Delhi wraps up its voting for the 2025 Assembly elections, attention is now focused on the upcoming exit poll results, which will be released after 6:30 pm on Wednesday, February 5. Pollsters like Axis My India, C-Voter, and PMARQ are set to share their predictions once the polling process concludes.

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The Election Commission had imposed a ban on publishing exit poll results until after the conclusion of voting.

Ahead of the release of these crucial predictions, we look back at the accuracy of exit polls in the past three Delhi Assembly elections—2013, 2015, and 2020—and assess how well they captured the real outcomes.

Delhi Elections Results 2013 : AAP’s Unexpected Victory

In the 2013 Delhi elections, exit polls forecasted an impressive debut for the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP). NDTV’s exit poll predicted that AAP, led by Arvind Kejriwal, would win 17 seats, with Congress securing the same number and BJP expected to clinch 34 seats.

The actual results were surprising: AAP won 28 seats, BJP bagged 31, and Congress secured just 8 seats. This result led to the end of Congress’ 15-year rule in Delhi, with AAP forming a minority government in alliance with Congress.

Delhi Election Time, 2015 : AAP’s Historic Landslide Victory

In 2015, the exit polls once again projected a victory for AAP, but the scale of the party’s success was even greater than anticipated. Exit polls predicted AAP would win around 45 seats, with BJP securing 24 and Congress only one.

However, the final results defied these expectations. AAP achieved a landslide victory, winning 67 of the 70 seats, leaving the BJP with just three and Congress with none. The magnitude of AAP’s win in 2015 was a huge surprise, signaling a dramatic shift in Delhi’s political landscape.

Delhi Election News, 2020 : AAP’s Victory and Exit Poll Accuracy

By 2020, exit polls had become more accurate in predicting the results. Major pollsters like India Today-Axis My India, Times Now-Ipsos, and ABP News-CVoter all forecasted a strong win for AAP, with expected seat counts ranging from 59 to 68. The actual results were similarly favorable for AAP, with the party securing 62 seats.

The BJP, despite being projected to win around 15 seats, was limited to just 8, while Congress once again failed to win any seats. The 2020 elections marked another clear victory for AAP, though exit polls were slightly off in predicting the exact margin.

Delhi Election Date 2025 Result : Will AAP Continue Its Dominance?

With the conclusion of voting for the 2025 Delhi Assembly elections on Wednesday, February 5, the focus now shifts to the exit poll results, which will be released shortly.

While the final election results will be announced on Saturday, February 8, the exit polls will offer an early glimpse into the likely outcome.

Will AAP maintain its dominance in Delhi, or will opposition parties make significant gains?

As the city awaits the predictions, political observers and voters alike are eager to see whether AAP can continue its remarkable streak in the capital’s elections.

Stay tuned for the release of the exit polls and the official results on February 8.

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